Sunday, May 11, 2008

The Strong Dollar Myth

When asked to discuss the official position of the USA with regard to its currency, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson typically invokes the "Strong Dollar Policy." According to former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill, however, this policy is a "vacuous notion." Mr. O'Neill served as Secretary from 2001-2002, during which time he echoed the strong dollar sentiments of his forebears, without apparently ever believing that the US had any ability or intention to influence the value of the Dollar in forex markets. The implications of Mr. O'Neill's comments are such that the rhetoric of Secretary Paulson, as well as a recent warning by the G7 nations, are both wholly empty, and the Dollar's value will continue to rise and fall as determined by the markets. Bloomberg News reports:

O'Neill roiled currency markets when he was in office from 2001 to 2002, at one point with comments in an interview with a German newspaper that the U.S. pursued a policy of a strong economy, rather than currency.

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